1. Junoob: Back to form last start at Randwick in Listed grade when well backed. Beaten off in the Metrop the run before that… has to improve at weights.
2. Hawkspur: Saved a lot of ground last start at course over this distance and was a respectable 3rd. Have to improve on that run again to measure up again here today.
3. Excess Knowledge: Stuck on solidly last start behind Amralah for 2nd at Caulfield. Continues to run well without winning. Has the ability but he hasn’t shown me the top class runs this prep that were expected.
4. Elhaame: A horse that is certainly hard to judge here today. His best runs this prep should be good enough to measure up to this level today having won 3 of his last 4, he will go well over this distance, just a query on if he is good enough.
5. Chance to Dance: Strong Irish form over this distance. Three runs this prep beat The United States and ran fairly well the next two runs. Obviously a chance, but Williams from a wide barrier isn’t the best combo as of late.
6. Havana Cooler: Ran very well for 2L 3rd behind Magic Hurricane from out the back last start at Randwick. Weighted very well today and from barrier 3 should get a very nice spot in running. Strong record over these distances.
7. Ruling Dynasty: Fair way off this class as a 3YO. Last start won a listed race okay enough but has to improve on what he has shown in the past.
8. Bohemian Lily: Continues to run good races setting strong tempos out the front or on speed with runners. Can’t see her winning but can see her placing.
9. Thunder Lady: Average run last start at Caulfield and is up in grade again today. Has the ability but has to improve on form this prep.
10. Ethiopia: Old mate… not in this grade thanks!
11. Manalapan: Import first up today. Open class winner in Ireland… not sure his form lines are actually good enough to consider in this.
12. Zanteca: Won nicely at Geelong last start in a BM-78 race… huge step up at weights and not very well in.
13. High Midnight: Showed nothing last start at Caulfield. Will enjoy the distance but i can’t see the win on form.
Comments: This really is a rough race. At the prices even with Craig Williams on from the barrier, I can’t go past Chance to Dance on the Each-Way.
Confidence 65%
Early Quaddie Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 6
Strategy: Chance to Dance Each-Way.
