1. Ragnaar: Much improved run last start at Geelong. Back to 1800m a query on two previous runs? Went okay on soft in the past.
2. Loyalty Man: Won well in his maiden last start at Bendigo with ease. Two runs back very fair run on speed in similar class for 4th. Went a bit too fast I’d suggest.
3. Sea of Tranquility: Two runs at Mornington heading into this and couldn’t win BM-64 grade. Safe to say this is harder.
4. War Legend: Maiden winner only. Last two runs he was well beaten in easier grade of races. Up to 1800m probably suit.
5. Kryptonian: No luck last start at Geelong. Previous prep well beaten favourite at Flemington over 1400m in similar class. Obviously has ability but has to prove it.
6. Hursley: Maiden win in only fair times at Hawksbury two back. Well beaten last start at Canterbury. Others preferred on that run.
7. Bullish Stock: Very easy win two back at Benalla in R-58 grade. Obviously much harder here than that. Didn’t measure up well enough two back for mine.. back to 1800m may help though.
8. Baheej: Maiden only winner at Cranbourne. Time was very slow.
9. Duke of Boneo: Good enough win last start in maiden grade over 1600m and the time run was solid. Good barrier today.
10. Sound The Trumpet: Horrible run last start in maiden grade. Can’t see the step up first run.
11. Freedoms: Couldn’t place in maiden grade this prep. No thanks.
12. Bengal Cat: Very disappointing run on the soft track on speed over the 2000m. Two runs back at Moonee Valley ran much better but it was a firm track. best can measure up from the 54kg today, but has to show it here.
13. Ashlee Marie: Well beaten last start at course over 2000m. Hard to see the run required on current form.
14. Tabi Bay: Average maiden win at Bendigo last start. Can run well off that if improves on.
15. Ma Raison: Looked okay first prep. Well beaten as favourite first up at Cranbourne doing a lot wrong.
16. Holy Lula: Couldn’t win a slowly run maiden from on speed. Not here.
Comments: Another very average race on the card today, seems to be a developing theme. The fact that Ragnaar and Bengal Cat are the favourites says a lot about the quality of the race. Kryptonian rates as having the most potential and I know the horse will handle a wet track, plus a solid barrier should see the right run.
Confidence 20%
Strategy: Kryptonian E/W
