Gear Changes: Guest of Honour – Winkers Off, Bull Point – Lugging Bit Off & Standard Bit On & Blinkers Off, Akavoroun – Visor Off, Disposition – Cross Over Noseband First Time, Mister Milton – Pacifiers Off.
1. Leebaz: WFA-G2 winner last prep over 1800m and close in Group 3 class. Will be the clear leader today. Best runs on dry track and has a decent first up record.
2. Akzar: 1 win from 8 first up runs. Didn’t get a win last prep and best runs over much further than this in the past. Happy to take on.
3. Guest of Honour: Disappointing three runs last prep. Couldn’t have today on what i’ve seen.
4. Jacquinot Bay: Huge run first up. Consistent type and will run very well again today at a course that he generally likes. Speed will be solid for him and he should have no real issues getting over today.
5. Richie’s Vibe: Had every chance 2nd up and well beaten. Did end with Rich Enuff and others though so have to believe he can run a fair race.
6. Bull Point: Moved stables and first up dead last. Hard to have.
7. Akavoroun: Didn’t find very much last prep but spring is clearly the key for this horse with 6 winsf rom 14 starts including running down the cleaner on record! Nice barrier today and first up record is good enough… best runs on wetter the issue.
8. Disposition: Very good horse. Two runs last prep 2nd to Wandjina then disappointing 4th to Watermans Bay. Rates very well and maps a dream.
9. Yesterday’s Song: Bossy onboard… blocked for runs last start which got him beat. Good win two back…. 1400m key distance… good horse.
10. Mighty Like: Nice run 2nd two back then failed hard last start. Need to improve to win this today based on first two songs.
11. Zebrinz: Ran home very well last start behind Charmed Harmony from too far back. Eye-catching run. Looks well in here.
12. Mister Milton: Hasn’t won since 2013 and won’t be changing that today.
13. Sir Andrew: Goes in the sack after failing to win any run this prep to date.
14. Pressing: To find best needs it wetter. Even then didn’t find much last start when well backed.
Comments: Leebaz, Jacquinot Bay, Disposition and Zebrinz are the four standouts while i think Yesterday’s Song is a excuse horse and i can’t take the $4s on offer. Leebaz has shown his best over further than this and while i think he is a massive chance, i can’t trust the horse here. Jacquinot Bay most likely won’t get the pace wanted today for mine and does need the run. Zebrinz looks the big value in the race, will measure up and dryer track today the key. Disposition is the horse that maps beautifully and is proven in group 1 class and looks a massive price all things considered.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Disposition to win.
