Dany The Fox: Crazy price being bet today on old Dany who isn’t actually all that old. Back in class today, just forgive first up run when had breathing issues. A month between runs and he has a very strong 2nd up record, strong record on good tracks and always runs a good race at Flemington over this distance. Shouldn’t have too much trouble getting over for a spot from barrier. Tough horse.
Amorino: Been up a long time. Okay run two back but then failed hard last start. Couldn’t have even at weights.
Oregon Spirit: Goes okay first up and at track. Decent at distance also. Not seen the best of him though the last few preps.
Saluter: QLD raider who was running well in Open class up here. Always seems to find one too good.. not sure Freedman stable had him long enough at the weights to get the win.
Chile Express: Gun run got him the win last start at Sandown. Weighted okay but others preferred especially from barrier.
The Wingman: Been off over a year and is now 9yo. At his best even last prep he measured up to this class to run places but never win. No thanks.
Infinite Energy: Wet track did the trick two back. Last start in easier company was very average. Distance will help but prefer others.
Gracious Prospect: Snuck a win last start at course and distance in easier company. Poorly weighted today against Laohu and others in general.
Laohu: Looks to have progressed htis prep and weighted okay compared to Gracious Prospect. Barrier helps. Have to respect his ability and weight.
Swift Shadow: Ridden more forward last start over further did the trick for the Hayes stable to finally break through for a win with this ex-HK gelding. 52kg today means he is every chance again to step up.
Refulgent: Well backed favourite. First up run was fairly disappointing when 3rd at Moonee Valley. Up in class up in distance but down to 54kg looks ideal. Barrier hurts for a good spot in running but have to respect ability. Not sure deserves to be favourite just on 3YO winning form?
Thumbtacks: Old mate is going well in country grade. Finally gets 6-7kg off his back but much harder here. Couldn’t have him winning it.
Whistle Baby: Horse on the way up who finally got a win last start at Sandown. Has ability. Respect.
Comments: Two stand outs here for me in Laohu and Dany The Fox. Amazed at the price we are getting for Dany against these rivals at the weights.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Dany The Fox E/W. Also small win bet on Laohu.
