1. Prompt Return: Proved to be a very good horse in his first prep when he won a Group 3 race down the straight… but didn’t exactly beat much that day. Ran 2nd in the Ballarat Magic Millions race also. Came back from spell and failed first up and failed even harder second up. Hard horse to rate today but if the money comes then you have to consider he has recovered from the injury that clearly affected him last prep.
2. Real Good: Will sit just off the leaders today. Ran some nice races up at Doomben behind some decent types. Never got a win but did run well in those. Did take a Listed race at the Sunshine Coast. Obviously have to improve but has the ability.
3. Spill The Beans: Ran gamely behind Counterattack last start in the Brian Crowley. Counterattack came out in the Coolmore and ran very well also. Won in the past over 1100m in good races including a win over Holler at Randwick! Clearly a good horse with loads of ability.
4. American Star: Strong 2.5L maiden win in good time to start the prep.. Close 2nd beaten in a good race as $1.65 favourite next start by 0.1L and then went around $1.28 favourite and won by 4.3 lengths. Obviously has ability.
5. Viceroy: Nice run as favourite last start at Moonee Valley but never got close to the classy winner. Has ability.
6. Faatinah: Two solid runs this prep after the Synthetic win. Clearly this class of runner but has to improve. 1400m back to 1000m.
7. Ability: Going okay enough the last two runs but been well off winning in the top level. 1.2L off Keen Away in his best run and looks well suited over the distance.
8. Stragun: Had to go to Murtoa to win a maiden… not exactly the best form lines but it did pay okay. Well beaten as favourite last start at Bairnsdale in easier company.
9. Divine Mr Artie: Cranbourne win with ease first up at Cranbourne from on speed as a favourite. Much harder this.
10. Miss Gidget: Maiden only winner. Ran 2nd to Fontition at Caulfield as her best run in the past. Wide no cover last start at Moonee Valley and was a forgetable run.
11. Invincible Heart: Solid enough win at Caulfield two back but well beaten last start with a harder tempo on speed. Have to improve again.
12. Purrpussful: Gun run last start at Caulfield up in grade but was a very poor run. Nice win two back. Forgive last start?
13. Parcel: Two runs in a row were solid in BM-70 grade. Needs to improve but has the ability.
Comments: On my ratings Spill the Beans and Ability are the two to beat today and the market agrees. I think there are only 3 other runners that could win so this does look a race where you can bet.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Back Spill The Beans for 1.5 units. Back Ability for 1 unit to win.
