Flemington Race 4 – 1400m – Lavazza Short Black

Horse Racing - Australia

1. Good Project: Pushed forward last start in easier company at Randwick to lead all the way and win well. Will most likely be taking a sit today from the wider barrier. Has the ability to make the step up.
3. Pyrrolic: Last prep looked to be a nice type of horse but certainly doesn’t like to win. Best seen over further but still runs well at this distance.
5. Lordag: Beat an average race last start at Doomben over 1350m. Looks well suited here but has to seriously improve again.
6. Weinholt: Bit of a surprise winner in easier company last start at Geelong. Been a long time between wins. His best is good enough but needs to improve.
7. Counter Spin: Loves all surface conditions. Last start win in bm-90 grade at Morphetville was a solid win. Time was only fair for the day though… think he can run well today.
8. Durendal: I have a strong opinion of this horse on what we saw last prep. Did nothing first up but last start ran very well to win at Pakenham. Loves Flemington and step up to 1400m looks ideal to me. Looks well in at weights.
9. Turnitaround: Frustrating horse to follow. Continued to run well all last prep with a lot of placings. Best runs were over further but does run well over this distance. Never won first or second up.
10. Malaguerra: Strong run 2nd to Weinholt last start at Geelong. Won well previous run at Ballarat. 0.4L 4th at course and distance in 3YO grade last prep.
11. Siegfried: Measured up well in QLD in high classes but not at this level. Has to improve.
12. Golden Mane: Finished off last prep racing over 2500m. Best runs over further distances.
13. I’m Ablaze: His a good type but last two starts didn’t measure up to the BM-70 grade, so hard to see the win here.
14. Orient Lane: Well beaten last start at Geelong in easier grade. Was a good run either way but has to find much more here!
15. Sentfromthestars: 1 win on her record. Always runs well but always doesn’t get close.
16. Tashbeeh: Horrible barrier. Will be pushed forward to lead.. clearly best runs from last prep good enough but last two runs just not good enough.
18. Shintaro: Every chance last start in much easier at Donald and couldn’t slot a win. Pass.
20. Mantener La Fe: Couldn’t place in BM-64 grade all three runs this prep. Take on.

Comments: The one good thing about this race is more than half the field are 0 chance of winning. One standout horse in Durendal.
Confidence 65%
Strategy: Back Durendal on the Each-Way

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The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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