At The Weekend: Measured up down in Tasmania throughout her career to date and has won 4 from 5 at this distance in the past with a 1.8L 5th in FM-GP3 company. First up today and goes well first up, looks well weighted all things considered today.
Bet You She Rocks: First up found very little over 1200m. Back in class and up to 1400m is a bit better for her but would expect she needs a few more runs to measure up in this class today.
Letmedowngently: Best runs clearly over much further than this. Made her way through the grades and became a very good horse last prep.. but needs further.
Smokin’ Al: Very very very good win last start at Sale and two back run 3rd to Jessy Belle at course and distance in harder company was very strong. No real speed in the race today so don’t expect her to be out the back today from the barrier… hard to get past her!
Herstory: Very easy win last start at Flemington beating a decent bunch of horses in 3YOF class. Up to open grade today in MB-84 grade and looks well suited based on last run at the weights. Will be on speed again and be very hard to beat.
Leia: Going nicely this prep. 1L behind Smokin’ Al last start… barrier 1 today so if jumps well could be stalking the speed and every chance if good enough.
Northern Saint: Strong form lines last prep and looked to progress through the grades well. Ran well enough first up in F&M class weighted well but was no match. Has to improve today but up in distance should help.
Barley a Scent: Continues to run well and finally got the win last start at Bendigo. Magnus Slipper has come out and won since… has to improve but decent type.
Niminypiminy: Just missed her last two runs. Perfect barrier today if she jumps well for once. Meets Smokin’ Al 2kg better off today and Leia 1kg better off.
Comments: Very confusing race if i’m perfectly honest with you. Every single horse in this race has a chance of winning which is never a good sign when looking to bet. There isn’t much speed on paper, but that generally means something goes forward and nuts up front. HerStory does go up top pick. Smokin’ Al is under the correct odds but a big cance obviously… have NiminyPiminy a slightly better bet at weights and Leia a massive price on that form line. At The Weekend looks to be one at odds worth considering as well.
Confidence 65%
Strategy: HerStory to win. At The Weekend and Leia smaller bets (value in the race).
