Flemington Race 3
Miss Rose De Lago: Amazing run last start at course and distance when just missed 2nd to Jessy Belle. Equal at weights today, won’t be run along out front at the same pace today and she will have every chance from the barrier. Only thing that stops her is a very flat run today… but has had enough time between runs i believe.
Sino Eagle: Good enough horse but just not going well enough this prep on all the runs to date for me to suggest she can beat every runner here at the weights and ratings.
Jessy Belle: Good win last start when ridden appropriately and got the pace on out the front to come home late over the top. Won’t get it as easy today… good horse.
Nautical: Obviously too far back last start when 5th to Jessy Belle. Barrier 4 today if no issues at jump like last time should be further forward. Has the ability to run well.
Mamwaazel: Very very poor last start at course and distance. Was okay three back on a wetter track… not sure how you could back with confidence today unless the money comes.
Spirit of Heaven: Good horse. First up blocked for runs forgive. Last start out the back but well beaten by 4L… similar class today will be out the back and wanting more and more rain.
Dig A Pony: Showed nothing last prep. First up well beaten on a wet track as favourite in easier race. Hard to have.
Written: Main front runner in the race, preferred on dryer tracks on past runs. Only the one win this prep in much easier company. Run good races all prep but never just got there. I think she is a good horse but will find at least one too good.
Leia: Did alot wrong last start and is a forgive on that. Won two in a row but this is a huge step up and looks outclassed.
Smokin’ Al: Most likely goes forward but last start didn’t and won so not sure from barrier. Has ability to run a place at very best.
Patricia Dawn: 15 runs for 1 win to date. Last 3 preps no better than 7th. No thanks on first up run.
Niminypiminy: Actually ran on very well considering slowly away and out the back last start at Caulfield behind Pilly’s Wish. Equal weight today and up in distance looks to suit. Don’t discount at all!
Comments: Miss Rose De Lago has been on the drift since opening markets with a fair few backed at odds, but i can’t pass up the $4.40ish odds on offer currently. Hopefully they continue to take her on and we get a better price on the day..
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Miss Rose De Lago to win.
