1. My Poppette: On speed given a slow tempo, kicked away and won easy last start. Rate on previous runs as well as that last run. Clearly a good horse but take last start with a grain of salt as she won’t get it that easy again
2. Dawnie Perfect: Looks a very nice horse in the making and won well in the Ethereal last start at Caulfield from the back. Will really improve on that run and enjoy the distance. Big chance if they run this along.
3. The Grey Flash: Failed to measure up the last two runs this prep. G3 winner last prep. Not sure I can trust the horse to produce a winning run here.
4. Ambience: Very strong win over 1600m two runs back, but last start at Caulfield was made to do too much work with a strong tempo on out the front and it was really set up for others to win. Clearly a good horse but didn’t get a strong 2000m. Maps well.
5. Beluga Blue: Won an average affair last start at Morphetville. Big step up in class here today.
6. Bengal Cat: Every chance last start on speed and well beaten by My Poppette. Hard to see the improvement up to 2000m.
7. Lazumba: Well beaten all three runs this prep. Might be wanting the distance but struggle to back on what we have seen so far.
9. Bannatyne: Well beaten last two runs over 1600m and 2000m in this type of class. Did obviously stay on strongly enough setting up a tough pace. Will still have to improve on the last start run again today if leading at that tempo.
10. Muzyka: 5 length maiden win over 2100m. Didn’t exactly beat much that day but 3rd did run 12 lengths off them and it was a 9 horse race. Looks to have ability.
11. Ritzy: Average win two back at Hawksbury. Last start well beaten in an easier race at Ballarat. Not one i’m keen on.
12. C’est Beau La Vie: Maiden winner. 4th last start behind Beluga Blue. Have to improve on recent runs to place.
13. Zarabeel: Found his way to the line just ‘okay’ last start behind Ambience, Dawnie Perfect etc.
14. Dawn of Hope: Maiden win at Benalla was good. Ignore last start when a lot went wrong. Going very well at home.
15. Princess Aria: Not the worst run last start at Caulfield. Has to improve but can run okay enough.
Comments: There is little chance to be betting into this with a load of confidence. We know My Poppette, Dawnie Perfect and Ambience are all good enough on past runs and we know Bannatyne may set up a strong tempo once again, but it’s runners like Muzyuka that you just don’t know how they will measure up here and even Dawn of Hope with the Hayes stable talking it’s chances up.
Confidence 50%
Early Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 10, 14
Strategy: Dawnie Perfect Each-Way
