Crafty Cruiser: Two of last three runs have been huge in harder company finding Taiyoo the winner both times. Two back run was poor though. Weighted very well today and Taiyoo backed up that form last night. Barrier is the massive issue though considering so much speed in race.
Tooleybuc Kid: Further forward last start at Flemington when rated better than Crafty Cruiser and peaked. 57kg today and back in class looks well suited. Crying out for rain but it won’t be coming… but will be enough give in the track this early in the day to give him every possible.
Sir John Hawkwood: Hard to see the required improvement from anything we have seen. No thanks.
Only A Pleasure: Not the worst run last start at Flemington. Really wanting further.
Woakwine: Country grade wins recently. Won’t measure up to this.
Arch Fire: Goes well enough for you to take note of his class and 2000m is far enough for him to run well.. but is just here for the run. Never placed first up.
Use The Lot: Both runs this prep have been very average. Can produce better but looks hard today.
Turnitaround: Continues to run well without winning. 52kg today is well in again at a course we know he likes and distance that should suit.
Zimbali: Bit of a surprise winner first up at Sandown over what looked an unsuitable distance. Up to 2000m very ideal… Looks a solid progressive type to follow.
Anfitriona: Disappointed by this talented mare last two starts. Should have been winning two back and last start was average at best. Goes well at distance but best seen on wetter.
Aurum Spirit: Surprised by running very well last start at Sandown. Can run well again from barrier but will be a little too far back for my liking.
Aragonese: Pushed Jac Bay last start to the limit and just missed. Jac Bay run well since. Up to 2000m first time a big unknown.
Comments: Crafty Cruiser comes into this over the odds again and looks a great place chance. Tooleybuc Kid deserves to be a favourite at the ratings today but may get shuffled further back than wanted. Turnitaround will run a game race again but you have to be concerned with our he gave it up to Rivers Lane last start. Argonese rates nicely off that 2nd to Jac Bay but will he last the 2000m? Zimbali is the horse i’m keen to follow forward and continue backing. Very strong win last start and 54kg today should get a nice spot and finish off late.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Zimbali to win.
