1. Monopole: Solid enough first prep with placings in listed company and wasn’t too far off them over 2500m in a 3F-GP3 race. First up run won well at Ballarat. Time wasn’t that impressive but will obviously improve onwards and looks to be in the right race today.
2. Royal Ocean: Last 7 runs failed to get within 3.3L off a win. Struggle to suggest here today on previous runs.
3. Solar Burst: Ignore last start when too far back and the true staying test was on. Back to 1700m.. horrible barrier will be back. Two and three back runs good enough to consider.
4. Unfurl: Three runs this prep and not within 5.3L. No thanks… but this is the Weir stable and horse did win a 3YO race over 2000m at Caulfield so I don’t know.
5. Finda Fitter Filly: Good win two back at Bendigo and then ignore last start at Geelong when passed fit at barrier. Can run well enough here.
6. I’m A Tiger: Two wins in a row in much easier races. Good win last start from the back at Pakenham. Will measure up.
7. Primeiro: Well beaten last start in easier company at Cranbourne – was galloped on. D Oliver onboard… hardest company for this horse to date.
8. Zamperini: Beaten fairly last start by Monopole after winning two races in a row. Up in distance probably required based on Maiden win. Barrier poor.
9. Champagne Cocktail: Good run last start at Moonee Valley. Best runs last prep were good enough to suggest she can win this. Need to improve but does go well at this track. Best run on record was on a soft track. Well in.
10. Hipster Girl: Easy enough maiden win first up. Best runs last two preps in her maidens previous to this. Has some ability but has to improve clearly and won’t get as easy a win as last start.
11. Tricky Affair: Maiden win at Bendigo then just got a win at Tatura last start. Going to the country to get the wins. Has to continue on with the form to win here.
12. Taylah’s Secret: Well beaten all three runs this prep. Safe to take on with current form, but does have a win at distance/class last prep.. but has been showing form.
13. Yellen: BM-60 win 5 horse field Kembla. Not exactly the ideal lead in. Handles wet tracks. Beaten soundly by Champagne Cocktail last time they met.
14. Miss Wilson: NZ Import. Very easy win first up but last start over-raced something fierce and was never a chance. Much harder this race also. Has to do everything right.
15. Maxie’s Blue Girl: 2YO-LR 4th over distance. Won maiden last start over 1400m. Has ability to consider but has to improve also.
16. In Unison: Maiden winner at big odds last start. Hard to see the next step here.
Comments: Champagne Cocktail is the only horse I could be on in this wide open race. Ran well the last two starts in similar company, will be on speed and best form from last prep on soft shows she is good enough here.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Champagne Cocktail E/W
