1. Takedown: Very poor run after knuckling at the start in the Gothic Stakes. Previous run behind Exosphere was solid. Forgive last start.
3. Bassett: Unseen on wetter surfaces. Well beaten in the Guineas but stays at 1600m. Win over Keen Array over 1100m was decent. Obviously looks a good type but has to improve onwards again.
4. Mahuta: Very strong win two back at Kyneton and then last start in the Gothic Stakes on speed won very well at big odds holding off Holler who has come out since and won a Group race by 4.3 lengths! Very good form lines.
5. Montauk: Sydney form. Ignore two back run and rate on last start. Won well enough from an on speed location but certainly has to take another step up. Barrier helps.
6. Gredington: Out the back in a small field in the Stutt Stakes at Moonee Valley last start. Ran home quite well for 3rd behind Sovereign Nation and Get The Picture. Form looks solid enough and fair to see them fancy him here.
7. He’s Our Rokkii: Expected to sit out the back in the race. Two solid runs in a row but has to improve.
8. Patch Adams: Made the jump up in grade last start and was decent in the Stutt Stakes. Not good enough to consider here though.
9. Tivaci: Looked a good chance two back at course over 1800m and ran well, but was no match for the winner. Back to 1600m from 2000m after not getting the distance. Has to improve.
10. Flying Light: Well beaten by Mahuta and Holler last start. Hard to have on that run.
11. Deadly Shadow: Tough to the line last start at Flemington in a surprise front running ride. Will be trying to set a strong tempo again today and up to 1600m a positive. Looks good.
Comments: Massive price on offer today for Mahuta on the Each-Way considering the win of Holler last week! Very happy to take these odds.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Mahuta on the Each-Way.
