Gredington: Very disappointing last start at Caulfield when 2nd favourite, almost hard to believe that was his best? Have to forgive that run with a little more sting out of the ground today should run well.
Starsi: Out the front they didn’t set much of a pace at all last start over the 1400m at Caulfield when winning well. Much harder at Flemington today from wide barrier and only run on a wetter track was a fail (much wetter).
Gold Symphony: Ran well for 2nd to Jalan Jalan last start at course over 1200m. Really hit the line like a horse looking for 1200m and no issues with the track today at all. Will need a bit of luck and a good ride to not get caught 3-wide from the barrier.
Jacksay: Adelaide horse come over from the McEvoy stable after winning twice in 2YO company in a row on heavy and soft ground. The wetter the better.
Al Shameel: 2nd to Jacksay last start over in Adelaide. Have to improve past him today you would expect at the weights. Has ability.
Del Grappa: Just got the win first up at Pakenham in maiden company. This is much harder and unknown on the surface today compared to others up to this grade. Was a decent paying maiden.
Downhearted: Out the back at Geelong and ran on very well to score at big odds first up. Have to consider him a bit chance today on what we saw first up.
Red Alto: No luck first up at Caulfield when was doing his best work late and will appreciate the extra moisture in the ground today with a longer straight. Blinkers on big plus.
Bon Aurum: Failed to beat quite a few home first up then won well at Geelong beating an average bunch in a cheap maiden. Hard to see the big jump straight away.
Colonel Custer: Gawler maiden win last start on a heavy track, hard to see the transfer of form up in grade on dryer track just yet. Money will tell the story though and has been backed.
Most Wanted: Well backed first up runner today… have to be good to beat all these first run.
Dream on Monty: Hard to see him matching it fully with this lot even with the claim.
Comments: Open race to start the day. I’m happy to be sitting this one out and watching to get a feel for just how good quite a few of these will be.
Confidence 60%
Strategy: Small bet on Red Alto and Downhearted.
