Welcome to The Profits preview from Flemington on 20 May 2017. Last week we were struck with some more bad variance with our best bet pulling up lame for the second week in a row. There is nothing we can really do about this apart from suck it up and move on. Sheriff John Stone was an eye-catcher and with a more aggressive ride I felt we get the chocolates and I know we bet the right price. Onto Flemington where there is a very competitive card with a few bets we are keen to have. As always, I hope you have a good day. Good luck and happy punting.
Best Bet
Flemington Race 3 – Gallic Chieftain – 2.5 units @ $4.00 to win. Lieder – 1 unit @ $9.00 to win.
Next Best Bet
Flemington Race 7 – Malibu Style – 2 units to place @ $2.10
Best Value Bets
Flemington Race 8 – Ventura Storm – 1 unit Each-Way @ $9/$3
Other Bets
Flemington Race 5 – Charmed Harmony – 1.75 units @ $4.80. Radipole – 0.75 units @ $11
Flemington Quaddie
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 6, 9, 13
Quaddie Leg Two: 4, 7, 8, 9, 14
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 13
Quaddie Leg Four: 2, 5, 8, 9, 15
Tools
Skyracing (TAB) form guide – this is what we use for the basics – http://www.skyracing.com.au
Speedmaps and form from Punters – http://www.punters.com.au/form-guide/
Follow Racing Victoria Stewards on twitter for tactic changes, track conditions and ride reports
I find all of the best early odds at www.odds.com.au
Our results are updated daily here – Betting Spreadsheet
Index
Red means Top pick. Blue means second pick and Green refers to a saver pick. Orange means the pick looks value.
Flemington Race 1 – 1400m – Saintly Hall of Fame Trophy
1. American Genius: Always looked a nice type and has never run worse than third including in listed grade down the straight here and in the 2YO MM Classic. Ran nicely enough beaten favourite last two starts at Ballarat and Pakenham. has to improve again at weights.
2. Grandioso: Two starts for two wins in slightly easier grades of races. Did beat a nice one first up in Indian Thunder and then at Wagga won a nice 25k race.
3. Indernile: Hard run first up at Caulfield when wide the trip but didn’t finish it off like a top class horse on the soft. Dryer today but certainly has to improve on that run. May be better suited up to 1400m ridden cold from barrier 1.
4. Hecta: Heavy 8 bool winner coming into this race today. Got lucky to beat home Savaheat on the day, but was still a nice win. Has to be respected.
5. Salsamor: Pakenham maiden winner on Heavy 9 heading in to this. Time was not too bad for such a wet track. Looks to have obvious potential.
6. Masculino: Benalla Heavy 10 winner. Close finish in what looked a lower grade race. Have to take on.
7. Savaheat: Looked a very nice type on the heavy just beaten behind Hecta at the bool. Looks well enough bred to keep on going up to 1400m. Was very green.
8. Grammar Boy: Pakenham maiden third heading into this race today. Had his chances but needs to improve onwards for this.
9. Pissaro: Had 4 trials before his first up run when beaten into 5th at Pakenham. Clearly needs time on current form.
10. Bendethera: Didn’t show a lot first up on the heavy at Pakenham. Back to dryer for the well enough bred type from the McEvoy stable. Clearly has an opinion of the colt.
11. Grunt: First up today. Only run on a heavy 10 was 4th in a trial. Hasn’t been smashed in betting.
12. Aloisia: NZ import. Two runs in NZ were only fair at best. Trialled well heading in but better on wetter.
13. Ruchla: Unseen first up runner for the Sadler yard and has been backed.
Comments: This is a tough way to start the day so i’ll tend to verge towards the best looking in the yard fitness wise. Expecting Bendethera to run better here today at big odds while Savaheat looks good enough to measure up here also.
Confidence 10%
Strategy: Back Savaheat and Bendethera.
Flemington Race 2 – 1200m – Light Fingers Hall of Fame Trophy
1. Motown Lil: Won two in a row heading into last start but was very fairly defeated last start at Morphetville from out the back. Line wasn’t overly strong but the horse just didn’t come on from the run. Has to improve.
2. Wasabi: Two lead in runs for two wins. Both times only just got the win but this is a respectable step up in class. Has ability and 3kg claim helps.
3. Moonlites Choice: Two starts this prep. First up run was very good at Caulfield when was ridden for luck and ran a good 4th. Last start very plain on the soft 5. Will improve again but hard to suggest.
4. Miss Iano: Won two in a row heading into this. Easy heavy track winner last start and looks to have ability.
5. Divine Quality: Maiden winner in quality times first up and then smashed the clock last start at Flemington with a sit and sprint home.
6. Overstep: Had every chance from just off the speed last start when beaten 3.6L behind Divine Quality. Has to improve onwards here.
7. Miss Vesper: Won in BM58 grade first up and progresses to here. This is just a huge ask.
8. Hussy’s Glow: Won two in a row including the first up BM-58 win with ease at Wangaratta.
9. Mandee: Well beaten first up behind Divine Quality. hard to see the form turn around even at the weights.
10. Summer Glen: Ran home well for second but was still beaten 3L behind Divine Quality. Down in weight but step up again.
11. Call Me Tess: Sat wide second up at Caulfield and sustained a wide with no cover run to finish 4th after a tough run. Expected she can run well today.
12. Miss Siska: Maiden winner to end last prep. Trailed well enough heading into this prep but this is another step up in grade.
13. Waa Master: Heavy 9 maiden winner. They smashed the rest of the field. Can improve.
14. Delightful Cat: Heavy 9 winner two back at Terang before being fairly defeated in easier class than this last start at the bool. Has to improve again.
15. Fay’s Joy: Horrible first up on heavy. Ended last prep running well over 1200m at Moonee Valley.
Comments: Hard to bet against Divine Quality on that run last start. Call Me Tess looks one of the few chances at odds that could run well.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Divine Quality to win. Small bet on Call Me Tess also.
Flemington Race 3 – 1800m – John ‘JJ’ Miller Hall of Fame Trophy
2. By The Grace: Ran home nicely after a freshen-up for second to Tick Tick Bloom at the bool a few weeks back on Heavy. Back to a much dryer and harder race but does look okay in.
3. Shoreham: Been going around up north without winning or placing but hasn’t been beaten too far the past few with distances around 3L.
4. Gallic Chieftain: Not the worst run first up when a huge drifter at the Bool and still ran nicely on the day on the heavy. Back to dryer and back to Flemington will see him well in here.
5. Adirondack: Six runs this prep but yet to break through. Did run second twice but the last two starts have been well below the mark. A return to form wouldn’t be far off.
6. Flow Meter: Well beaten 2nd last start behind Second Bullet at Morphetville. Previous runs had ability but couldn’t win and I can’t see a win here.
7. Loving Home: Ran nicely enough first up at Caulfield and then last start at Caulfield over 2000m was held up at turn but showed ability. Has to improve again from this barrier.
8. Curragh: Ballarat winner three back but really didn’t beat much. Fairly beaten behind Sadaqa two back and then beaten fairly last start at Caulfield again. Back in class here and up to 1800m.
9. Zahspeed: Looked well in the yard the past two starts but hasn’t gone close in similar grades of races the past two starts. Hard to suggest today even at the weights.
10. Ferro Nero: Four runs this prep and has been fairly beaten on three of those occasions. Two back at Ballarat from midfield ran nicely off the slow pace throughout and had the sprint to go with them. Clearly looking for a race with less tempo than this to find his best.
11. Granddukeoftuscany: First up last prep over 2000m at Morphetville ran them along out front and finished off strongly doing it at both ends. Didn’t lead the next start and paid the price over 2400m. Only run between preps was at Sandown in January when led but folded up like a cheap suit at the turn. Better than that and this is going well. 3kg claim takes him very well in here.
12. Alamonteel: Strong win last start at Sandown on a Heavy 9 beating Hot Ruby who has won in city class since also. Up to 1800m but back to a dryer surface the only negative. No weight.
13. Lieder: Won 2 of last 4 in similar or lesser grades. Best runs in the past have always been on wetter surfaces. Beaten favourite last start at Morphetville in a harder race from out the back. Looks a chance here.
14. New Graduate: Weir runner that has won two in a row. Last start bolted in off a solid tempo on a soft 5 track. Has the ability to do it at both ends it appears. Won’t get the lead today without competition.
15. Irish Optimism: UK winner over 1600m. Nice enough run from out the back at Flemington last start but clearly needed another run. Barrier 15 doesn’t help chances as he will be right out the back.
16. Northern Journey: Two runs this prep and has failed to get close. Last prep measured up over further. Needs another few runs over further.
17. Jimivag: Not bad first up in easier over 1500m. Heading towards 2000-2400m distances. Not the worst here.
Comments: Zahspeed and Granddukeoftuscany will ensure that the tempo set in this race will be genuine throughout the race with a solid early, middle and late. This will set up the race for the quality stayers such as Gallic Chieftain and Lieder. Both have been backed but still offer value.
Confidence 85%
Strategy: Gallic Chieftain – 2.5 units @ $4.00 to win. Also back Lieder – 1 unit @ $9.00 to win.
Flemington Race 4 – 1600m – Winx Hall of Fame Trophy
1. Jaws of Steel: Strong win leading into this on a soft 5 at Sandown when hit the front 150m out and just held on. Up in weight but 3kg claimer goes on today to counter that. Stays at 1600m and maps for a similarly positive ride.
2. Greviste: Four runs this prep for two wins a 5th and a 3rd. Was a solid run last start behind ZamZam in a bunched finish with a few others for 3rd. Up to 1600m the only query based on the run two back.
3. The Passage: Won well at the Bool on a heavy 8 coming off a disappointing run 7th. Has to improve onwards and upwards today. Has the ability on ratings.
4. Spanner Head: Strong win two back at Sandown over 1600m before fairly beaten 2nd behind Egg Tart on the Heavy 8 at course and distance. Clearly looks a top chance and from barrier 4 maps well.
5. Atlantic Express: Three runs this prep but hasn’t got close on all 3 runs. Last start was held up for runs 600-350m and ran nicely late. Jumped from a wide barrier last start which affected the run, but gets a perfect barrier today.
6. Barry the Baptist: Heavy 9 maiden winner two back. Gave away lengths on Jaws last start not tracking the horse into the race and going wider on the turn. Took a long time to start trucking which happened late. Doesn’t have any turn of foot but from the barrier tracks into this well.
7. Guangzhou: Took several runs to get the Maiden but finally got it first up this prep from off the speed on the Synthetic. Last start at Sandown in much easier just missed when came from just off the speed. Has to improve.
8. Havadash: Ran very well last start at the Bool when 2nd to The Passage but was fairly beaten on the day. Maiden winner the previous prep and was fairly beaten over 1400m in easier grade of race behind Oak Door and Widgee Turf. Has to have trained on.
9. Willi Willi: Heavy 9 winner last start at Sandown in maiden grade. Didn’t beat a lot that day and this is a huge step up in grade. Has to improve onwards to place i’d imagine from this barrier.
10. Pray for Us: Wang maiden winner after five attempts. Always run well in the past but took a long time to find an easier maiden for the win. Needs the run and I can’t see it here.
11. Tell the Truth: 1600m Synthetic maiden winner heading into this. Time wasn’t great and class wasn’t good either. Has to improve.
12. Kaptive Hero: Had every chance last start with the low weight but couldn’t grind down Jaws of Steel. Poor barrier today but will run another solid race.
13. Berryrae Ruby: Went close two back in BM-64 grade but step up to 2000m and harder grade last start didn’t work. Hard to suggest.
14. Cincinnti Kid: Fairly beaten last start from the box seat run at Caulfield. Step back to 1600m but even so this looks too hard.
Comments: Two clear standouts in this race on form for mine. Spanner Head is clearly the one to beat and is still slightly over the correct odds. Atlantic Express is the big improver today from a better barrier up in distance. The Passage is the danger.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Back Spanner Head & Atlantic Express.
Flemington Race 5 – 1400m – Lloyd Williams Hall of Fame Today
1. Mahuta: Terrible last start in the Wangoom and the previous start didn’t show much at all. Best runs in the past have been over these 1400m distances and will get the right tempo on if good enough. Market drifter.
2. Charmed Harmony: Horrible ride last start in the Vase at Caulfield. If you check the sectionals it’s the first time in about 10 runs where the horse has had a faster last 400m average tempo than the previous two. That isn’t how this horse wins, it makes you run VERY fast, Very Fast and then try to out tough him late, which almost no other horses can do. Look to the two back run in Group 3 company when Hooked beat CH by 0.2L on an unsuitable track condition.. it was a brutal tempo throughout and a perfect ride. Chris Caserta goes on today which is certainly a bit of a concern but the 3kg claim will be a telling factor for this track. Couldn’t be going better and a favourable radar suggests we could get as much as 10mm the day before.
3. Tucanchoo: Best runs in the past have been over further distances than this. Only run at track was a solid second in this grade. Goes okay first up but clearly this looks a tough ask coming off a lameness issue last prep.
4. Now or Later: Irish import. Will find the conditions tough today i’d imagine and is looking for softer tracks. Is a 1600m horse and has run 4th in a Group 1 in the past. Clearly has the ability but did run poorly first up over the unsuitable 1200m. Win wouldn’t be a total shock.
5. Well Sprung: Consistent type that is always found in betting but hasn’t got a win the past four runs. Back to Flemington and up in distance a bit of a throw at the stumps. Has to improve but maps much better from an inside barrier. Tough ask with the tempo.
8. Radipole: French import. Won four of his last 4 races and was really competing in some very solid races including a 80k listed race to finish the prep over there. Looks the real deal and should handle our conditions with no issues.
9. Eximius: Horrible first up. Don’t expect the improvement needed to get a win here just yet. Keep watching.
10. Inspector. Got the win last start at course and distance and was obviously a good win, but he had the race run to suit with solid sectionals throughout that weren’t brutal. This is much much harder.
11. Sovereign Nation: Gelded, blinkers off, norton bit on, tongue tie off… a lot of changes attempted here. Certainly looked a nice type last prep but never measured up to the top grades. Need to see the run here.
14. Mr Individual: Three runs this prep but has only got within 1.6L. Back to 1400m today and we can expect a solid run again today with a tough tempo being set out front. Has to improve onwards and upwards again.
16. Artie Shore: Not going well enough on last two starts for me to suggest here.
Comments: With Mahuta inside of Charmed Harmony and Mr Individual inside of them, Chris Caserta will be forced to push Charmed Harmony in the early stages of the race for a position and this should ensure the correct tempo is set today. Radipole is the horse i’m really scared of in this race bringing over some very solid French form lines over the 1400m-1800m distances.. i just get the feeling that first up the horse may need an easier run than this but at the price, i have to include!
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Charmed Harmony – 1.75 units @ $4.80. Radipole – 0.75 units @ $11
Flemington Race 6 – 3200m – Andrew Ramsden Stakes
1. De Little Engine: Got away with the perfect race last start with Mujadale running them around slowly so it was more a 2000m race than a 2800m race. He has never run out a tough 3200m in the past with 4 runs for 0 wins and one place.. so this is the testing material.
2. Mujadale: Horrible ride last start and Childs gets on the horse instead today. Will be pushing them along strongly out front and this is certainly the testing material to see if he can step it up over this distance. Query.
4. Lucques: Tough out and out stayer and he looks very well suited today coming off a sit and sprint run last start. Saw out the 2800m well and will love the 3200m at a tougher pace. Looks a solid chance.
5. Like a Carousel: Hasn’t run a good race in a very very very long time. Yes, this is his distance but he was horrible in the Adelaide Cup and the last start run didn’t tell me much.
6. Refectory: 4000m winner at Caulfield before running fairly for 2nd last start at the sit and sprint 2800m. Is clearly suited by the 2800m and wants them to run it along as fast as possible. Respect. Will run well.
7. See Line Woman: NZ bred. 3400m BM-84 winner. Only battled home last start over the 2800m over the sit and sprint distance. Wants them to run this along. Did beat Refectory on that day winning over 3400m.
9. Renew: Won three in a row over the hurdles and is an out and out stayer. Goes well on all track conditions and expect he will run very well here today.
10. Dane Hussler: Old mate loves the distance races and the further the better. Not sure she is going well enough this prep to measure up here though.
13. Shampion: Very well backed last start but couldn’t sustain the run when shot clear of the field and faded the final 200m. Back to 3200m will have her well in. Not very well weighted against Refectory though.
Comments: I couldn’t touch the price on offer today for De Little Engine but I also couldn’t be too confident in betting against the horse either.
Confidence 50%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 6, 9, 13
Strategy: Lucques E/W
Flemington Race 7 – 1200m – Hilton Nicholas Straight Six
1. Mihany: Last three wins have all been over much further (1600m). First up today certainly up against it at this distance with this weight i’d imagine. Has won at this distance in the past though and does go well first up.
2. Thermal Current: Hard horse to catch. Very inconsistent having won two in a row in city class then failing to place the next four runs. G3 8th last start. Watch for market backing.
3. Tashbeeh: Costly type after always looking nicely in races but failing to get wins last prep with 6 runs for 2 thirds. Last win was over 2000m. Too short today.
4. Malibu Style: Three runs this prep for two seconds and a first. No Crystal Dreamer to beat today and looks very well in.
5. Yesterday’s Songs: Hasn’t won in a year. Average first up and on the heavy in the Wangoom ran okay. Has to improve today but has the ability to place.
6. Tried and Tired: 7th first up in the Wangoom. Goes well 2nd up in the past and has won at track and distances. Hasn’t shown the ability of this level in a while though.
7. Stellar Collision: Very strong lead in run 2nd to Ulmann in the Wangoom. Failed last start down the straight and has never won down the straight in the past. Previous runs were good enough to run well here.
8. Karlovasi: Adelaide raider. Listed winner two back over Viddora who has won a place in a G1 since. 1L off them in G3 last start. Have to respect. Going very well currently.
9. Ruettiger: Two runs last prep. G2 6th wasn’t too bad at all first up but failed to fire down the straight in listed grade. Previous preps did win over 1200m down the straight on Soft 7.
10. Whistle Baby: Five runs this prep but failed to break through. This looks her toughest test going back to 1200m. Has to improve.
11. Demonstrate: Three runs this prep and hasn’t really shown alot at all. Big step up in grade… did trial well enough on the heavy last start.
12. Le Bonsir: Hasn’t won the past 10 runs. Horrible first up down the straight. Getting on in age.
13. Onerous: Couldn’t get a win last prep from 5 starts. Did run 2nd in the Greys race over 1400m. Others have better form.
14. Oak Door: Two lead in trials suggest he is going well. Last prep measured up very well over 1400m at course and in similar grades with a G2 win.
15. Orujo: Very well beaten the last few runs over these distances and I can’t see the improvement needed.
16. Espiritu: Two runs in Victoria and has been okay without going close. Hard to suggest.
Comments: It’s hard to bet around Malibu Style today after the previous runs including measuring up at this course in the past. Ruettiger has the top class ability while Karlovasi has been running well over in Adelaide. Oak Door Could run well first up today also.
Confidence 85%
Quaddie Leg Two: 4, 7, 8, 9, 14
Strategy: Malibu Style – 2 units to place @ $2.10
Flemington Race 8 – 2000m – Archer Hall of Fame Trophy
1. Ventura Storm: Group 1 winner over 2400m in Italy. Group 2 2nd in the St Leger over in the UK. Group 3 2500m winner over in France. Safe to say, this bloke is the real deal. 3kg Claimer is important onboard today, but safe to remember that he won last prep over 2225m with 61.5kg in listed grade 5th up.. and first up at Newmarket in listed with 5 7kg over 1800m. Handles all track conditions but will certainly enjoy the 2-5mm expected on the day. My current top Melbourne Cup tip and is here to learn the course… which with wins at Deauville looks ideal. Free running on speed type but did take a sit just off the leaders in the Group 1 win in Italy.
2. Observational: First, first and second on the record heading into this and back to a dryer track. It’s hard to discount Observational in any way shape or form over the 2000m on a dry surface. Will be out the back and running on, but looks well suited to come over the top late.
3. Extra Zero: Disappointing last start at Flemington when they ran it on appropriately out the front but he didn’t make up ground on the field unlike others such as Articus. A return to form would see him run well but clearly hard to have on last start.
4. Second Bullet: Nice enough winner last start at Morphetville when got away with murder on speed in much easier grade of race. Won’t be leading today and will need to improve again.
5. Longeron: Has been backed today after not a terrible run last start 4th behind Articus from off the speed. Expected to go further forward today and may just be coming into form. A little bit of rain expected on the day is a clear positive for him.
6. Sadaqa: Strong tempo set last start at course over 1800m and just didn’t have the legs to hold off four other runners. Won’t get any easier a time out front today and will have to go strongly out front again. Tough at weights and on mapping.
7. Self Sense: 7 runs this prep and failed to find a place. 2400m back to 2000m here has him competitive back to a better distance but he clearly isn’t going as well as a few others.
8. Dubai Escapade: WA horse sent over to the Weir stable. Two runs this prep and hasn’t measured up just yet. Is certainly a step or two below the other horses sent to Weir from WA.
10. Magnapal: Small backing when went up big odds. Was very average at best last start at Caulfield but jumps to 2000m today.
11. Master Zephyr: Fair enough run third as the lead in run behind Ashdam and Royal Rumble, but this is a huge jump in class. Place at best.
12. Black Tomahawk: Horrible first up on a heavy track at the bool. Last prep finished off 7.4L 5th in the Lexus. 5L 3rd previous start behind Almandin at Caulfield over 2400m. Others preferred.
13. Haradafull: Was running on well late after being passed by Articus at the top of the straight. Up to 2000m and fourth up today expect he will be well suited and at the top of his game today.
14. Hursley: Got the win last start in much easier company. Down in weight but has always run well at this track. Have to respect.
15. Our Yangtze: Import. Going around in easier grades of racing than this and over further. Can run well.. but needs further for very best.
Comments: Very keen on the Group 1 winning import Ventura Storm here. We bet up at the $11s they put up on opening markets and will bet right down to $7.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 13
Strategy: Ventura Storm – 1 unit Each-Way @ $9/$3
Flemington Race 9 – 1600m – Carbine Club Handicap
1. Albonetti: Been off the track for one and a half years. Showed ability back in the day with a 2500m win at course in handicap conditions… needs further.
2. Fastnet Latina: No disgrace last start at Caulfield in harder company when ran 2nd behind Rhythm to Spare who was absolutely bolting on the day. Maps on speed today with less competition and gets to run the race he wants with a nice weight and should relax better with Blinkers on today.
5. Amarela: Never in the fight last start at Flemington when Scapa Cove and Stormsabrewing kicked clear while Amarela was being held up. Flashed home late when finally got clear after having to wait for them to go past and had to go around. 3kg claimer a positive today and should get a spot midfield with a good ride. Clearly going good enough especially if swoopers suited today.
7. Like the Clappers: Won last start at the Bool in easier grade of race on a heavy track. Never won on Good a big concern from 5 attempts. This looks a touch too hard.
8. Scapa Cove: Had his chances from the back last start but just got nosed out by Stormsabrewing who was over-whipped on the day. Strong barrier today will see him sit further forward today and have a better chance.
9. Steggler: Nice enough run last start when wide no cover and sustaned a long run. Can improve for that run today but needs to find about a length. Has the ability.
10. Brown Ben: McEvoy runner. Two runs this prep both horrible. Last prep won in similar grades over 1600m. Has ability but needs to show form.
11. Kellstorm: UK import Sister to Order of St George. Loved the heavy at the Bool. Best runs in the past have been over much further. Not sure a dryer track will see her produce her best and i’d expect the run being needed.
12. Zourkhan: First up after an average last prep that only saw a 2000m CL2 win. Hard to suggest.
13. Portion Control: Two runs this prep and hasn’t been close to a placing. Last prep won the Inglis Cup at Caulfield (not a great race) over 2000m. Others preferred.
14. Stormsabrewing: Got the win last start but did get lucky through some strong whipping. Not very well in here at the weights in comparison to last start and i’m willing to take her on with 2 others with better form from the last start run for mine.
15. Walloon Region: 1600m BM-70 winner two preps back. Last prep was a good 5th in BM-84 first up at course and distance. First up failed on Heavy. Not for mine.
16. Calendar Lad: BM-64 grade winner two back at Pakky but was only fair last start in easier as Sandown. Clearly has to improve and wants further on 2014 form.
17. Zagaya: BM-70 grade winner last start at Geelong. Going through the grades nicely enough for Pateman but clearly has to improve again to be placing here.
18. Subiaso: Hasn’t placed in last 10 runs. Struggle to suggest.
Comments: One of the most open races of the day. I can make a case for Fastnet Latina will be leading this around a respectable pace to suit its chances. Amarela was a blackbooker last start but has come up very short and will be getting back and running on. Scapa Cove can run well and so can Stegglar. Walloon Region has won in harder grade in the past and back to a dryer track does look over the odds. Stormsabrewing is one i’m willing to risk.
Confidence 50%
Quaddie Leg Four: 2, 5, 8, 9, 15
Strategy: Back Fastnet Latina E/W
