Good Value: Seemed to have every chance last start at Flemington when top pick for us in the race and had 3 run straight past him. Straight may have just been a little too long but i’m not convinced that is the issue. Certainly has the ability to win but will be doing it tough with top weight unless rail is golden.
Diametric: Probably just ignore last start run when didn’t handle the heavy. Certainly will get some fitness out of that run. Based on last prep you have to consider a chance today measuring up in the city including a win at Randwick over 1600m.
Eximius: Very very poor run last start at Caulfield. Certainly needs a few more runs to find the best this prep… has a win in him though so keep an eye and ear out for when Price says he will win.
Lord Durante: Strong win two back at Caulfield. Last start just never a chance when over-racing and out the back. Has to be on speed.. barrier 15 hurts chances significantly today with so much speed in the race.
Commanding Time: Consistently running ‘okay’ and found his best run last start when led until about the 150m but no match for the rest of them. Not for mine.
Onpicalo: Looked a winning chance in the Swan Hill Cup three runs back but since then failed to measure up in harder company. Last start didn’t handle the 2000m it seems… but time run was fairly fast also in the race. Need a perfect ride and luck to win.
Miss Rose De Lago: Sensational type that simply had an off day last start at Flemington when found nothing after a perfect run. Based on two/three and four back runs she rates very well in this grade today and should be on speed today. Best runs have been over shorter distances is certainly the issue in my mind.
Falago: Big improvement last start at Flemington when went wide and destroyed the field. Very well weighted again today all things considered and step back to 1800m shouldn’t hurt. Best run clearly on a Good track it seems but no issues with Soft 5.
Miss Mossman: NZ runner first up in Aus… happy to always take these types on first up and this does look a very hard task.
Lightenuff: Led last start at Flemington and just not good enough. The same story the previous three runs.
Gingerboy: Proved to be a very solid and progressive type last prep when won at MV and Flemington before finishing with a 2nd at MV. First two runs this prep were very average at best. Certainly be suited by dryer track today, but can’t suggest today on what we have seen. Looking for Hurdles.
Stratigraphy: 6L+ defeats the past four runs. First up run was good as well strangely… not thanks.
Hot Power: Looked a good type two preps back but came back last prep and was average in easier grade… two runs this prep found little.
Hannaford: Have a soft spot for this guy, but it’s been a long time between drinks and last two runs were poor at best. Can’t have here.
Nisos: One run this prep so far and couldn’t place in easier company on the Sunshine Coast. Previous prep didn’t get a win in easier contests. No thanks.
Comments: A rough race to end the day. Clearly on ratings Miss Rose De Lago is the best horse in the race, but will she be suited by the 1800m? Falago was a massive run last start, but can that be repeated today from a position out the back? Good Value had his chance last start at Flemington, but will the step up to 1800m be ideal today? I just can’t pass up the price on Miss Rose de Lago to find out in this level of race.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 7, 8
Strategy: Miss Rose de Lago E/W
