Pacific Heights: Top weight again today up to 1800m. Proved to be an ‘okay’ type but not a top class type over in the UK. Ran just well last start at Pakenham. Poor barrier. Need to see go around again.
Raposo: Well back in class today after just missing last start at Moonee Valley. No issues with 1800m when you consider the run he had. Late race at Caulfield, should be suiting swoopers… Top hope.. classy.
Diaghan: French import, showed nothing first up over 1200m and then ran on okay from the back last start over 1600m. Up to 1800m will help again today… best runs clearly in past on softer..
Epsom Hill: Another Uk import. Finished off last prep with runs over 2400m and 2800m. Did win over 2400m and run 2nd at 2000m. Expect needs the run today.
Stellarized: BM-64 grade last prep measured up… best seen over further in easier.
Aliyana: Havn’t seen her previous preps best all prep. Back to dryer surface should be what she is wanting today.. ran okay enough last start to suggest can win here.
Clemo: Well back in class today and back in distance slightly and back to dryer surface all positives. Well in at the weights all things considered on the two back win beating Refulgent who has won twice since!
Tenacitus: Running fairly this prep. Last two runs had his chances. Barrier doesn’t help things.
Lannister: Step up in class and only fairly weighted. Hard to see him turning it around on a few in this race today on previous form.
Haradafull: Consistently running well this prep even when he doesn’t win. Going through the grades, this is an extra step up… barrier helps to give every chance but a few look too good here for him. Can place.
Tilla Bell Rings: Well beaten all four runs coming into last start run… a little further forward from a positive barrier and just missed. Poor barrier doesn’t help causes today.
Steakandbearnaise: Progressed through the grades last prep. Shown some okay runs this prep but is he really this good? Been backed… i can’t see it though.
Comments: Very keen on a two-horse play here today. Clemo is the value in the race. The $9.40 currently being bet for Clemo is well over my odds on this market. I have Raposo also significantly shorter than the $3.90 on offer… very happy to back both to win an equal amount.
Confidence 90%
Quaddie Leg Four: 2, 4, 6, 9
Strategy: 3 units Raposo to win. 1.5 units Clemo to win.
