Refulgent: Consistently inconsistent in getting a win. Hasn’t broken through this prep. Last start was his poorest run in the past four. Not sure 2000m is ideal this prep on last start.
Word of Mouth: Huge win two back at Moonee Valley by a massive distance. Last start was gone a long way out.. not sure there is as much ‘pace’ in this race today which should help his chances.
Clairvaux: Won at big odds beating Refulgent two runs back at Flemington before sitting out the back last start at Flemington and coming home well enough, but being no match for the winner running into 2nd. Poor barrier today ensures will be out the back again.
The Terricks: Ran ‘well’ in much lower grade at Flemington two runs back then failed last start on heavy. Not sure he has the ratings to win this.
Lannister: Ran quite well last start at Sale when 2.5L 3rd to Abbasso. Well beaten 5L by word of mouth two back though.
Pompeius: Close but missed last start when 2nd to Abbasso at Sale. Previous four runs in lesser class for 0 wins this prep. Keeps finding a few too good.
Tre Dieci: Looks a handy type on the way up. Won well enough at Bendigo but didn’t exactly beat much last start. Need to improve significantly.
Radical: 3YO winner last start beating a nice horse in Heavy last start with top weight. D Oliver takes the ride today. Nice enough record this prep with all the last 3 runs suggesting he should go well. Ratings also have him well in at weights.
Posh Rock: Maiden only winner. Hard to suggest after 5th last start in R-58 race.
Za Za Zoom: Poorly weighted in this race today on ratings. Hard to suggest a place.
Manageress: Eye-Catching run last start at Flemington from the back showing a massive turn of foot. Will she have the same late sharp sprint up to the 2000m today 6th up into prep is the massive question today that has to be answered.
Comments: The top 4 horses in the race are all going to be out the back’ish’ today on mapping. I get the feeling from barrier 3 Word of Mouth will be getting further forward than the rest and has the ratings on two back run to beat them all home if good enough. Tough race.
Confidence 65%
Quaddie Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 8, 12
Strategy: Word of Mouth to win.
