Caulfield Race 7 – 1400m – P.B. Lawrence Stakes

Smokin’ Joey: Strong win last start in WFA-G3 at course over 1200m. Better suited up to 1400m also and loves it dry. Pace will be on as he wants it as well. The fit horse in the race.
The Cleaner: No disgrace last prep and personally feel 1600m is his best distance, so 1400m isn’t too short a distance either if ridden correctly. Arnold not on today a bit of a concern with Callow onboard. Has the ability but needs to be at his best to win this fresh.
Mourinho: Certainly in his career best form last prep when WFA-G2 winner x2 and WFA-G1 3rd over 1400m at course and distance. Different trainer this time in but same training process. Have to respect.
Dibayani: Ex-HK horse. Ran 2nd and third x3 in Group 1 company last prep. Best runs were clearly over further but has still shown the class to measure up at this class and distance. Trialled well and is a bleeder.. they go well first up generally.
Big Memory: Well backed all of last prep and failed to get a win. Best runs clearly over further and never won at distance in past or first up.
Taiyoo: Struggle to suggest him here first up. Will be set for further this prep.
Excess Knowledge: Certainly a good type. Won well two runs last prep especially first up from what was a massive run. Certainly needs to have improved again to win this first up at the weights. Sent here for a reason though!
Petrology: Got the match fitness coming into this today. Has to improve on last start run to win you would expect. Better suited up to 1400m but best seen over 1600-1800 last prep.
No Tricks: 3YO-LR winner over 1800m. Did run 2.5L 4th in 3Y-GP2 over in NZ… hard to suggest here.

Comments: The Cleaner is always a decent E/W bet but i feel first up over this distance he will just be a little exposed. Mourinho is in the similar boat for mine with a new trainer. Import Dibayani is also one i want to take on first up at this distance especially when the yard believes Petrology is a better chance. Excess Knowledge need to prove just how good he is today.. i believe he is good, but can’t bet around Smokin’ Joey here today on what we have seen this prep… Joey is well in at the price.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 7
Strategy: Smokin’ Joey to win.

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The Profits

The Profits was first created in 2010 as a hub for owners Drew and Euan to share their knowledge. Since then, our team has expanded over the years, and we now have eight individual writers now employed to share their knowledge on specific sports. “Surround yourself with the dreamers and the doers, the believers and thinkers, but most of all, surround yourself with those who see the greatness within you, even when you don’t see it yourself.”

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