1. Sterling City: Come over to Australia and shown very little first two runs. This is his race to show something you get the feeling. Stable suggest training at home has been good but even they have no idea what will be produced. 2 wins 3 places from 6 starts at this distance.
2. Famous Seamus: I really like this horse. I think he is flying and he was a really strong fourth behind Terravista last start at Randwick. Does have to improve here today but you know he will be coming late. Just not convinced he is best over 1400m.
3. Charlie Boy: Very disappointing flat run last start at Flemington, gone a long way out. Ran well two runs back at course and up to 1400m should be suitable, but need to see the run today and barrier is poor.
4. Vashka: Group 2 win last start at Rosehill off a very strong pace set on speed. Ran them off their feat previous run over 1500m as well. Back to 1400m obviously suits and looks weighted well enough today to be a serious chance. Hard to ignore.
5. Rock Sturdy: Well beaten last start behind Terravista. Decent type but not top class. Happy to take on even up to the 1400m.
6. Worthy Cause: Very strong win on speed last start at Flemington and they gapped the rest. Beat a very good type in Turn me Loose. Harder here but respect.
7. Chivalry: Hasn’t won in over a year. Not on last start.
8. Under The Louvre: Should have won the Group 1 last start, just had to do too much and stopped late. Absolutely suited to the tempo of this race today and will be hard to hold out. Money has come.
9. Setinum: At his best he can measure up to this class, but hasn’t shown it the last three runs.
10. Kumaon: Hasn’t won since 2013. Showed nothing first up in BM-90 grade.
11. Ulmann: Well beaten last start at Flemington and no real excuses from the spot in running either. Hard to have.
12. Cornonation Shallan: Decent type but runs better later into prep and first up was only just going okay. Others preferred.
Comments: This is Under The Louvres track. The speed will be on and there will be no excuses. Two seconds at Group 1 level at this track and this looks the ideal race to take a Group race win back to Group 3.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8
Strategy: Under The Louvre to win. Speculation bet on Sterling City to win.
