Gear Changes: Wawail – Winkers Again & Blinkers Off First Time
1. Hazard: Painfully close first up when further back than expected at Caulfield last start and just beaten by a really good type in madam Gangster. Poor barrier today a huge issue and will slot in midfield at best, if not go back a long way. At this stage in the day a 3-wide run isn’t a negative for mine the way the inside will have chopped up.
2. Wawail: Excellent first up record with 3/3. 1 run 1 win at track and this distance obviously suits. Last run of last prep pulled up lame worth remembering. Maps well obviously from barrier 4 today.
3. Atlantis Dream: Very solid and consistent all of last prep in similar or harder grades. First up record is solid but best runs over more than 1200m in recent preps.
4. Griante: Sat close enough to the speed but just lacked the ability to win last start. Run rated similar to two previous runs… needs a few more runs I think.
5. Politeness: She’s hard to catch but when she wins, she wins well. Not just a wet tracker anymore either with last prep first up win at course over 1100m in harder company on a good surface. Expect a strong run.
6. Girl Guide: Strip fitter for the run first up. Thought she had her chances and will need to have improved at least a length to measure up to this based on that run. Obviously has ability but is 1400m her distance not 1200m?
7. Tycoon Tara: A fair few people jumping onboard after her first up run behind Chautauqua. yeah, it was a decent run, but it wasn’t super. I think what most are thinking is the step up to 1200m will be perfect today. Barrier 12 makes it very hard to get a good spot and i think this is a very strong field and i’m happy to take her on.
9. Written Dash: Not winning.
10. Jessy Belle: Never given a chance last start at Caulfield from barrier 5 when ridden much further back than previous start. Tricky gate today but should be midfield here. Obviously has the ability to win.
11. Lesley’s Choice: Gone through the grades up north with some fairly good wins. Did record a 6L victory over 1100m in fast time also out the front at Ipswich also. Has ability… one to watch i’m telling you!
12. Scarlet Billows: Have to take a few on in this race and she is clearly one. Will be a long way back in running.
13. Forgeress: Certainly has ability and won a F&M two back at course and distance. Last start did alot wrong for a disappointing 5th. Back to best would go close.
14. Vezalay: Continues to run well but not get there with a 6th last start at Flemington. Back to 1200m today ideal and back to Good track. Barrier an issue to get an easy front spot though.
15. Satya: Bm-64 straight up to this. Doubt it.
Comments: Wide Quaddie leg again and i could have included 2-3 more in this race. Seriously open race with so many chances. Hazard from a better barrier would be top pick, but you just can’t have the horse from there. Wawail also doesn’t appeal greatly to me at the price but can’t leave out of the quaddie legs. The standout for mine is first run in Victoria is the handy Lesley’s Choice on the E/W.
Confience: 60%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 2, 5, 10, 11, 14
Strategy: Lesley’s Choice E/W