1. Cosmic Endeavour: Goes well first up but the Waterhouse stable really don’t have a great record down in Melbourne as of recent. Her best runs have been over further than this with 1400m+ being the distance i prefer her at best. Should be just off the speed from barrier 9 with any luck and should go well if the tempo is on.
2. May’s Dream: Hard horse to catch… didn’t win last two preps in fact. Never won first up in the past but has won at track. Needs to eb focusing back on the longer distances.
3. Hazard: Massive last prep winning a few group races including one over Miss Promiscuity (also beat her the previous race also). Get the feeling she didn’t enjoy the soft track to finish last prep run either. 1200m is ideal for her and loves this track. Gate is the massive issue and it will take a gem of a ride from Melham to pull this off. Good news is he has 600m to find a good spot and the outside ground was fine when i walked it.
4. Griante: Very very disappointing run first up out the front at Caulfield when she had every chance and failed to finish off the race. Wide barrier means she will be doing a load of work and would need to improve significantly on the first up run to measure up.
5. Estonian Princess: Hasn’t placed in a long time. Very very poor run last start. hard to have.
6. Girl Guide: Hasn’t been seen on the track since failing in the WFA-G1 to end last prep. Did run a good 2nd to Madam Gangster before that but best runs over 1400m than 1200m for mine.
7. Vibrant Rouge: Trialed very well i thought coming into this prep. Goes well at distance and loves to finish off well… but 1200m may just be too short and never won at track (gone close twice).
8. Madam Gangster: Boom horse last two preps measuring up and going through the grades. Missed the start and that cost her a win to finish last prep IMO. Clearly has the ability but best seen over further and barrier doesn’t help.
9. Loved Up: Massive win at Scone from the back to end last prep. Goes fine at this dsitance but better over 1400m. Will be a long way back in the race. Need a gem of a ride to win.
10. Jessy Belle: Hello lovely lady! She keeps delivering for punters having won very well the last two starts and backed up form lines with Miss Rose De Lago winning since. Barrier 6 is ideal here and only concern is back to 1200m today and the softer track.
12. Scarlet Billows: Goes very well first up on record… failed to measure up to this class at the end of last prep in terms of getting close to wins but certainly has the ability to on what we have seen. Need to see her go around today i think.
13. More Radiant: 3YOF winner last prep… ran very well with bottom weight in Mares grade last start behind Vezalay but never looked likely of winning. Hard to see the turn around today.
14. Double Dee: A bit of a surprise winner first up on the soft ground but defiantly had the ability on previous runs. This looks much harder but you do have to consider.
15. Soosa Rama: Blocked for runs first up but didn’t show anywhere near as much as you wanted to see to back with confidence today. Needs further
16. Petite Diabelesse: Goes well first up. Last prep proved 1200-1400m is her best distances but never measured up in this grade in the past.
17. Vezalay: Very very very classy win first up never pushed the whole way and even lost a plate. Weighted even better today all things considered and should have no trouble getting the lead and running this race out.
Comments: Vezalay’s win last start was as good as it looked and could have been even better if the horse was tested from the turn. Loves this track and rates very well. Everything is in her favour today, including juicy odds allowing an E/W bet.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 8, 10, 17
Strategy: Vezalay 1 unit to win 1.5 units to place
