Smokin’ Joey: Old mate was a huge run last start at Ipswich to get the win wide no cover finding the line. His best runs have all been over further distances than the 1200m today, especially recently. Obviously has the ratings to win but I really feel that this isn’t his ideal distance today.
Lord of the Sky: MEOWWWWWWWW. Horrible last start about 30 rating points below his previous two runs, it was simply just a forgive run. Has a very good record at this track so just forgive and move onto today. Barrier 3 looks ideal on mapping with the speed outside of him as well so shouldn’t have to work extra hard to get his leading spot. Return to best ratings blows this lot away… one last chance. I’ll be on track to give him a Rev up.
Decircles: He hardly ever runs a poor race, but old mate DeCricles best runs this prep have been over further distances. Never won at track and has been a long time between drinks… did beat Lord of the Sky that day down the Flemington straight… but that was a while ago!
Rich Jack: Impressive win last start at Caulfield when leaders were favoured late in the day. Previous runs were solid as expected on ratings… has to make a very large jump up the ratings today to measure up, but he does ooze class.
Inspector: Nice enough ratings this prep with wins over distance at Seymour two back… beaten last start over 1300m on Synthetic at Geelong a form issue though… but did beat Rich Jack home 3 back.
Wales: Lightly raced horse that showed potential with a long time between preps. Showed nothing the last two preps though so hard to even give a second look.
Petrology: Very disappointing all things considered last prep. Ran well enough in the Manfred behind Java then failed to let down with any great run in the Orr or Guineas. Previous prep won 1800m and 1600m including G2… not honestly sure this is his BEST distance and 3YO in this class, i’ll be taking him on even with Olly onboard.
Platinum Rocker: Gave all the signs in the trial that she is in for a strong prep. Last prep failed to get a win and could only run top 3 in Group 2 company over 1400m. A long time between drinks.. Williams onboard the main reason she has been backed it appears? Clearly wants a dry track
Nadeem Lass: Hard to took poorly of her last few runs, but she just doesn’t find a way to win! Happy to take on in this today.
Angels Beach: Every chance last start in the Monash when 2.75L 2nd to Miss Promiscuity. Hasn’t shown the same turn of foot this prep as we saw last prep which is an issue.
Written Dash: Last prep G3 winner first up when ridden cold from the back.. flew home… good sectionals.. massive price. No match for opponents 2nd up and then failed to run out 3rd up as well.. Key is first up today? Massive jump in class for mine.
Comments: When all is said and done, Lord of the Sky is a massive price here today. If you ignored the fact that he went around with what is simply a forgive run last start, he should be odds today. I’m game to give old mate one last shot today and simply believe the price is too large to pass up.
Confidence 80%
Quaddie Leg Two: 2, 10
Strategy: Lord of the Sky to win.
