It’s About You: Very questionable step up in distance today to 2400m considering last start 2000m heavy 9 couldn’t keep up with rivals. Could just have been flat run based on previous run? Decent enough runs three previous runs… trainer knows a few things so have to believe horse is suited? Will be a long way off them at the turn.
Zahspeed: The horses name tells you all you need to know… will be on the speed. Clear leader in the race. Very poor run two back over 1400m but last start made up for it with a dashing win as favourite in easier grade at Morphetville by a large margin. Weighted nicely and has the best Caulfield front riding jockey onboard in K Mallyon. Obviously has to improve to measure up but does look well suited by distance on previous runs.
Heavy: Gone through the grades this prep and by my numbers has measured up quite well. Has made the step up each time this prep with no issues and based on his unlucky run 2nd last start at course over 2000m you certainly get the feeling he will eat up the 2000m. Barrier the issue for getting a good mid-field spot.
Monteux: Massive step up in distance thrown in the deep end today. Thought his run last start behind Raposo for 5th had alot of merit… but it’s really hard to measure up those ratings in this race today when going up a full 800m!
Cuban Fighter: Maiden only winner in runs to date… last prep did run 2nd at Flemington in the St Leger but i’m really not sure we can back him expecting a remotely similar run here off the first two runs this prep.
Kaizaen: Too far back last start at Flemington from a poor barrier. Ideal draw today from the 2 barrier and will have more chance to find the line. First time at this distance certainly a big jump up.. but has the breeding to get the distance.
Chasing Liberty: Another today jumping up in distance. Best run this prep was winning a R-58 race and BM-60… has to find significantly more to measure up here.
Macrobius: Couldn’t get within 5L last start over 2000m on synthetic. Shocked if a place is had today.
Gilchrist: He looks to be ideally placed today after storming home behind Heavy last start at Caulfield. Rates well here today… unlucky barrier though.
Esprit de Sol: R-58 winner two back… failed to place in BM-64 last start. Enough said.
Fine Evader: Maiden winner only last start and just snuck the win. Hard to suggest a place.
Ginali: Maiden winner this prep… not sure exactly how to measure up the form coming back from heavy, but surely can’t measure up to these on all those stats of runs to date.
Magnazone: BM-64 win two back at Mildura… failed last start at Donald on the heavy… struggle to suggest the win but could sneak a place if suited by the distance.
Temps Voleur: I had written him off as gone as a horse but his last two runs had merit compared to previous runs… looks to be wanting the 2400m… you never know. Laing.
Get Ya Kicks: Not winning on current form in this grade.
Arizona Rose: Got her maiden last start at Bendigo after two previous goes at the distance… no thanks.
Mondiale: Can’t even win a maiden.
Comments: Wide open race and Heavy is the clear top rater on last start run. Gilchrist is a close 2nd on my list while Temps Voleur is the spec bet in the race if you want one.
Confidence 75%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 6, 9, 14
Strategy: Heavy to win. Smaller bet Gilchrist.
