Thurlow: I have a huge opinion of this horse. Failed in the Blue Diamond but every other run has been very good in Group or Listed company with a 2nd or 1st. Only run in the Autumn was a close 2nd. Should be fit and ready to roll today over the 1100m distance. Only issue today is poor barrier drawn.
Pearl Star: First up today after a solid 2nd prep. 0.4L 3rd to Black Vanquish is nice form to finish off that prep coming into this. Obviously have to be top class to measure up today.
Jalan Jalan: Good run two back at Caulfield then last start at Flemington won very well down the straight on softer ground. Dryer today a concern.
Take Pride: Good runs first prep which included a Flemington win over Air Apparent. Has the ratings and ability to measure up.
Petits Filous: Looks the real deal based on all the info to date with a strong heavy win backed up with an easy as you like win last start in easier company than this. Hard to beat today.
Giulietta: Measured up well in her first prep but got injured ending the prep before the Slipper. Will measure up today.
Misty Waters: Looked a nice type last prep. Has the ability to go well today but do prefer others above her.
Miss Gunpowder: Two runs for two wins. Done all she has had to do and toughest task yet. Has ability.
Grisbi’s Run: Not sure what to make of her today. Maiden and 2YO winner, failed to run out the heavy track but was still okay two back and then last start well beaten. Can place at least.
Our Vidia: Very good win first up last prep then had breathing issues at Flemington so was a forgive. Looks a nice type from what we saw last prep. Take on trust.
Don’t Doubt Marley: Much harder race today. Beaten everything thrown at her but clearly one you may just want to take on here.
Stream Ahead: Every chance last start at MV but well beaten. Hard to see turning it around here.
Madonna Lily: Well beaten by Green Card but so were most others! Could improve from that run here.
Comments: An absolute crapshoot this race. Yes, Petits Filous looks the real deal, no question, but is $1.85 the right quote? Simply no. Jalan Jalan can’t be trusted much either at the $7 quote and Miss Gunpowder looks a bit of unders at the $7s also. Giulietta would get my money at the $12 today while Thurlow at $26s would get a bit of $$$ also.
Confidence 50%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 6, 10
Strategy: Giulietta to win. Smaller bet Thurlow.
