Gear Changes: Eyrton – Cross Over Noseband First Time, All I Survey – Ear Muffs/Blindfold/Barrier Blanket First Time, Skellig – Winkers First Time
1. Berisha: Finally got a win after going around as short priced favourite in the past in two races and not getting it. Showed a load of ability and up to 1600m today should suit. Get the feeling the track will give him every chance today with the weight.
2. Darragh: Very strong win last start at Bendigo destroying the field off a hot enough tempo from the gun spot in run. Up to 60kg but comes into this in top form after that first up win. Hard to ignore.
3. Eyrton: French import with just the one win on his record, it was on heavy over this distance. Obviously have to consider but not sure you can justify the favourites badge?
4. Spur on Gold: Good run first up at 1200m. Up to 1600m looks a good jump with form around some very good types. Measured up to higher grade over 2000m especially last prep.
5. All I Survey: Another who measure dup over further, needed to get to 1850 to win a maiden is a concern.
6. Prix D’or: Doesn’t win out of turn this guy. Can’t have on last two runs.
7. Skellig: Loves to run a place. Consistent type but struggle to suggest up to this class today on three runs this prep.
8. War Point: Showed he has a lot of class in 2nd prep. Last prep was fair in just one of the three races at this course and distance for 3rd behind Fontein Ruby who would destroy this field. Previous prep close 3rd to Firehouse Rock and Magicool. Has the ability but based on the first up run i’m not sure he is going well enough.
9. Leica Day: Well beaten off last start at Balarat by Berisha. Need to improve.
10. Tre Dieci: Strange horse. Open class 2nd to Ferulgent four runs back then since has shown nothing.
11. Triple Gold: 0.1L 2nd to Magicool on record last prep and won his maiden over 1600m. Has ability and did go a 0.1L 2nd in 2YO-LR over 1600m to Crafty also.
13. The Spitfire: Old mate Spitty, he won two back but failed to get close last start. Looks out of his league currently.
14. Sun Flash: Natural leader, well beaten last start by Darragh and can’t see the tables turning.
Comments: Top 4 in the weights the ones to beat here. Berisha is certainly the horse that has showed the most class coming into this at the distance while Darragh’s last start run was impressive and the price looks very nice today. Feel Spur of Gold from that barrier will flash home but not win.
Confidence 70%
Quaddie Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4, 11
Strategy: Back Berisha to win. Smaller bet Darragh.
