Gear Changes: Catch a Fire – Winkers First Time
1. Pearl Star: Looked a decent type as a 2YO but failed to deliver on either run this prep. Has ability but couldn’t back on what i’ve seen so far.
2. Giulietta: Found a bit of form last start when finally ridden to lead and pushed Alaskan Rose to 1.3L. Soft track may have done the trick with previous best run on soft also. Don’t count her out in any way… one of two leaders.
3. Don’t Doubt Mamma: Huge run home last start at Moonee Valley. Better barrier today so should be closer to speed. Have to reproduce a similar run today, but has the ability.
4. Lazumba: Showed nothing first up. Last prep ran Jameka to 1L at Flemington. Have to improve. May need the run still.
5. Parallel Lines: 2YO winner at Cranbourne to finish last prep. Failed to measure up in city is the issue.
6. Born Magic: Finally got her win last start at Bendigo but didn’t have to beat too much.
8. Hela Flyer: Strong first up win on softer ground in a maiden but then last start found nothing. Could run much better than last start you would expect.
9. Thames Court: Very talented win first up at Pakenham not ridden out. Did control the speed but did have alot in the tank. Step up to 1400m looks ideal and from barrier 2 will have the rail and every chance to prove her class.
10. Catch a Fire: Racing well with a nice 4th to Strykum 2 back but then well beaten by a handy horse in maiden last start. Has to improve even from the barrier.
11. Sacred Eye: Yard believe she has alot of talent. Time didn’t exactly blow away any records and sectionals were fair… obviously has ability but need to see the run against this lot!
13. Rosamond: Failed in a maiden.
14. Dash for Georgia: Beware the unraced horse! Trial was average but always be careful of these types!
Comments: This could be one of the races of the day where the front runners have all the favours. I’m willing to take on Don’t Doubt Mamma today, need to see the horse produce that type of quality from a midfield/onpace position. Sacred Eye also has to be taken on for mine in this grade. Thames Court at double figures and Giulietta at single figures both appeal.
Confience: 70%
Strategy: Giulietta to win. Smaller bet Thames Court.