Iggimacool: Very well backed last start from a massive price into nearly single figures… out the back and flew home and just missed a place and even the win. Weighted well enough again today and has to be considered with that run under the belt.
Snippetee Bee: Last win was over in Tassy in much easier class. Last prep failed to place over there. Hard to see the required improvement first up.
Flash of Doubt: Big surprise win three back. Failed to produce a similar run since… hard to trust her unless very wet.
Pilly’s Wish: Won two from three this prep including a nice win at course and distance last start. Claim today looks IDEAL for her from midfield. Would ideally want a Good 4 track.
Fine Approach: Another behind Pilly’s Wish last start that found the line strongly after being held up. Continues to run well but failed to just be in a photo the past four runs after two wins over in Adelaide before that. D Oliver goes on today and barrier 2 means will get the trip required to be in the finish today.
Bet You She Rocks: More than a year off is a huge concern. Last two wins over 1600m. Take on.
Vain Attraction: Very very hard horse to catch. Last win was at course and similar distance when FLEW home. Had shown form previous to that run though suggesting was going well… this prep shown nothing.
Forgeress: Nice win on heavy at the bool last start after an average run in harder company at Flemington the previous run over 1400m. Best runs on wetter tracks this prep. Has the ability.. awkward barrier.
Young Tigers Jeuny: Will be just off the speed today. Nice first up run at Flemington when 3rd just beaten by Forgeress, won very well last start at Pakenham on the Synthetic… previous best rating runs have the horse in this race but has to certainly improve.
Northern Saint: Two runs for two wins last prep is hard to dispute form wise! 52.5kg today up in class over the 1200m today but certainly rates well enough to win. First up last prep was a 4.5L victory… will have trained on.
Aware: Good runs last prep… first up was poor and last start well beaten on heavy. Struggle to suggest on current form lines.
Bring a Ring: Failed last prep. This prep not been close to a win but might really just be wanting a dryer track?
Liberated Rose: Couldn’t win last three races at Moe or Sale in R-58-Bm-64 grade. No thanks.
Comments: Pilly’s Wish will be very hard to beat again today based on previous runs. Northern Saint is the standout at the odds today with $10/$3.20 being bet.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Pilly’s Wish to win. Smaller bet on Northern Saint.
