Caulfield Race 4
Morant: Old mate is always unpredictable but never runs a bad race when asked for efforts. Well back in class today and back to firmer track ideal. First two runs this prep were very respectable and should have won two back. 61kg not a problem but barrier is the concern.
Rich Jack: Gives Morant 2.5kg today is a big issue at the weights, but he will be going forward from a positive enough barrier and looks the leader on paper. Suited today and will be going close. Consistent type.
Handsome Tycoon: Good win last start on the wet track at Sale. Back to firm should be no issue on Flemington 3YO 2nd on record. Took a while to find his form this prep… step up in class today but should measure up… barrier the issue… need luck to get a good spot.
Tennessee Lad: Hard to suggest a win here on four runs to date. No thanks.
StereoSonic: No disgrace first up down the straight at big odds behind Hard Romp. Up in distance and down in class with 58.5kg and D Oliver from barrier 5.
Neverending Valley: Didn’t beat much last start at Bendigo but still over-raced and won so that’s something. Up in class and similar weight and dryer track.
Marwood: Running well all prep since winning first up but not close to winning. Hard to have today with any great confidence, but is weighted okay.
Rose of Texas: Only beat Tigidig last start, nothing to be proud of honestly as a form line. Take on here.
Sir Mask: Decent win two back at Bendigo but didn’t beat a star studded race it has to be said. Very disappointing at Cranbourne last start. Others preferred.
Spencer Street: Out the back today as always. Fair run two back at MV but has to improve again and get all the favours. Ridden for luck today you have to believe.
Lord Da Vinci: Found nothing last start in harder company at MV. Back to this class today and D Oliver doesn’t take the ride says alot. Has to improve.
Muchos Respectos: Stepping up in class again today… has to improve to measure up but is certainly a consistent type and will be pushing forward enough to get a decent spot. Best seen this prep on similar distance and track condition. Place price looks value.
Mick’s Hustler: Quite a few people suggesting he is a good thing today being unlucky last two starts. Probably out the back again today is the issue?
Comments: Rich Jack goes around as favourite today. Morant lost to Rich jack three runs back by 0.4L and gets 2.5kg today on the horse. Since that run ran 0.8L 4th to Academy Jack unlucky when 3-wide whole race not to win. Last start ran fairly on unsuitable surface in Open Class for 5th… back in class and weight no issue… $20+ on offer is overs, close to single figures on my ratings.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Morant E/W
