Estonian Princess: Mixing her form around. First up ran well over 1200m then had 3 poor runs after that before just okay last start. Not sure what to make of her apart from the fact she looks poorly weighted here. Best can win.
Klishina: Very disappointing run last start at Flemington coming off an average run at Caulfield but thought that did have a bit of merit unlike last start. Up in class and hard to see last start run measuring up… but back to dryer track and on three and four back runs can go okay. Never placed 3 tries at this track and never won at class from 8 tries.
Soosa Rama: Old mate doesn’t win our of turn. Goes okay first up but never placed at this track in the past. The right grade if she is ready to run well she can win.
Our Harmony: A month between runs, she continues to run consistently well. Up from 3YOF class today though to Mares grade and back to the ideal 1100m. Only run at course was a win two back.
More Radiant: Took a few runs last prep to find her best but did record a nice win in 3YOF class. Much harder this today first up.
Peninsula Dane: Decent horse but surely she is outclassed in this grade today? 9 starts 0 wins in class and 2 starts 0 places at track.
Roll The Ignition: Hardly ever runs a bad race. Failed to measure up at top 3YO level last prep a concern. Two runs this prep on wetter tracks were nice, but this looks a step beyond from poor barrier.
Vezalay: Good type who has only won a maiden to date. Last prep went close in 3F-GP2 then wasn’t disgraced 3.5L 8th in WFA-G1 over 1200m. D Oliver takes the ride and has been training very well. Will be leading today with just 54kg. If produces best, hard to beat.
Melting Moment: FMB-70 winner two back on a Good track when wide and lost a plate as well… fast tempo. First up run this prep on soft.. can forgive slightly but really hard to fully forgive.
I’m A Flying Star: 3YO winner over in Adelaide and wasn’t disgraced the run before at Flemington behind Faction. Has ability but others preferred.
Empress O’Reilly: Showing nothing this prep… hard to have.
Comments: A tough old race. The money has come for Vezalay, but i couldn’t jump in at the price at all. Looks well unders for a horse that hasn’t won more than a maiden to date, even on form. Small lean for me in this race towards Our Harmony on the Each-Way at the price from barrier 1. Should get a charmed run and have every chance if good enough.
Confidence 60%
Strategy: Our Harmony E/W
