Gear Changes: None
1. Don Doremo: Three runs back this prep and hasn’t been able to measure up to the top level at this distance. Up to 1800m and back to BM-84 grade, have to remember he won last prep in BM-90 grade at Moonee Valley by 4 lengths over 2040m off similar rating runs. Looks the only speed in the race and can control tempo to suit like that MV race.
2. Second Bullet: Found little first up over unsuitable distance. Up to winnable range today, does need further but this should be enough to be contesting. Won at track previously and in harder company.
5. Can’t Refuse: Well beaten last start in harder company and seemed to have every chance from the position. Back up in distance today and down in class… won in similar two back and lesser grade four back. Hard horse to catch.
6. Luck’s A Fortune: Needs further.
7. Red Fella: Very hard horse to catch, did get a win last prep over 2400m and 2500m. Clearly needs further first up from what we saw last prep.
8. High Church: Import for Hickmott stable, looked a good type last start at Pakenham and will appreciate step up to 1800m today. Has ability and looks well weighted.
9. Harveys True Heart: Didn’t find much last start at Pakenham which backs up two previous runs to date this prep. Hard to have.
10. Ring Da Belle: Respectable run last start off bottom weight 5th. Has to improve.
11. Transfer Allowance: Two wins in a row in much easier fields. Hard to have.
Comments: Off the last start run, High Church is the one to beat for mine, but even with the weight, don’t discount Don Doremo who could get away with murder out front.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: High Church to win. Smaller bet Don Doremo