Gear Changes: Bondeiger – Blinkers First Time, Allzin – Bubble Checker Near Side First Time, Hell on Earth – Tongue Tie again & Tongue Control Bit Off, Castelo – Gelded, Taqneen – Tongue Control and Lugging Bit first time, Standard Bit Off.
1. Bondeiger: Showed nothing first two runs this prep which is a worry even with the 1700m run last start. Being trained for much further with 2400m+ distances in mind, I think we have to take on again today.
2. Firehouse Rock: Last two runs were solid enough to consider him a chance today… but certainly has to improve a length on those runs to measure up here and questions over if he gets the distance from runs in the past.
3. Braces: BM-70 grade up to this today certainly looks a large jump. Not sure i’d want to be on him here.
4. Muraqaba: Three runs three wins and being thrown in the deep end. Beaten all he has faced too date but this is certainly a tough ask.
5. Gloryland: Very nice run two back at Sandown and just beaten last start at Seymour, but it wasn’t the classiest race and there were several in the finish.
6. Allzin: Ran quite well last prep with a 3YO 2nd at Ipswich but failed in harder company next start. Two runs back have been fair but not enough to take this..
7. Hell on Earth: Looked a very good type early doors… ran 4th in 3YO-LR at Flemington start of prep but has gone backwards since.. couldn’t win a BM-64.
8. Castelo: Ultimate gear change gelded. Good maiden win and ran fairly behind Pharrel next start and didn’t get much it’s way last start.. hard to have up to this grade.
9. Sloane Ranger: Embarrassing that this horse is seeing a city track.
10. Taqneen: 0 wins 1 place from 6 starts. Beaten 32L last start and 5L run before in maidens.
11. Loved Up: Proved a very good horse last prep but two runs this prep shown absolutely nothing. Hard to have even with the break between runs.
12. Kansas Sunflower: Pretty much one of three horses you could actually back here today. Questions over if she will handle the 2000m but i believe so. Best seen on Good tracks as well and best runs on speed. Rates well.
Comments: Horrible field but at least it means there are only a few changes. Kansas Sunflower the standout. Bondeiger probably the value even though i can’t back it.
Confidence 75%
Strategy: Kansas Sunflower to win.
