Kesampour: Well beaten two runs last prep. Goes well first up, but best runs clearly 2000m+. hasn’t had a win since 2012 and top weight here.
Streets Away: Been a long time between drinks for him. Top weight with 60kg here and needs to improve on last two runs to win this. Has the ability to run well.
Pelicano: Goes okay first up. Best runs over significantly further in the past few preps and last win was over 2600m. Oliver takes the ride something to take note of.
Count of Limonade: Shown nothing two runs to date this prep… blinkers go on which could do the trick. Best runs three preps ago would measure up.
Lake Sententia: Blinkers on last start after five poor runs and was backed in betting and magically found the win. Weighted nicely again today all things considered and a Good track shouldn’t be any issue. Might be out the back from the barrier.
Iggimacool: Been backed into clear favourite after running 0.8L 6th and 0.1L 2nd both runs at course over 1200m. Step up to 1600m is expected to do the trick today in a race with just 9 runners, she should get no excuse with the pace OnPicalo is expected to set out front.
Onpicalo: Ran very well last start at Flemington and looked to be back in form. Yes, his best runs have clearly been on the softer tracks than this today, but the two back run was not bad at all at course and distance. Clear leader on paper and a smart ride could see him hard to get past if the track is playing a bias.
Sino Eagle: Ignore last start on a soft track and rate on two previous runs. Needs to improve today and find at least a length minimum to measure up. Maps well enough.
Baron Archer: Old mate is being seriously under-rated today coming into this race. His effort last start at Flemington was very strong doing alot wrong over-racing and laying in.
Comments: I agree with the punters that Iggimacool is the horse to beat. Onpicalo could certainly get away and win it from out the front if there is a good rails bias, but i don’t think it’s going to be that big a bias. Baron Archer looks to be under-rated in the market currently and may even go around at double figures.
Confidence 80%
Strategy: Iggimacool to win. Smaller bet Baron Archer
