Caulfield Race 2
Iggimacool: Out the back today from the wide barrier. Has won at this distance in the past and goes well first up… has been well backed.. top weight for a reason.
Flash of Doubt: Big win two back at big odds in grade over distance. Last start went wide during race but well beaten. Has to improve i’d suggest to measure up to these.
Khutulun: Ignore the fact she went around and look to last prep when measured up in city class races. Does have to obviously improve and believe best will be seen over further. Wouldn’t back today.
Fine Approach: Failed to measure up at group level but ran nicely enough last start in R-82 level. Has ability.
Vain Attraction: Hard horse to catch. take on here today no matter what. Last win at course in similar grade but goes around at big odds for a reason.
Pilly’s Wish: Very good run 2nd to Wild Rain last start. Will be a long way back again you would expect but expect to hit the line hard. Dryer track no disadvantage.
Sinhala: Best seen on wetter tracks and over further. No thanks.
Carashan Girl: Saw this girl trial around Vain Queen and then win first up as a result. Let her roll out the front and she can blow them away. Back to 1200m and back to a firm track both suitable today and if let go out the front to free roll at a solid tempo could be very hard to catch.
Elle Excite: Talented mare who finds ways to lose be it getting blocked for runs or jumping poorly. Harder class of race again today but consistent enough to run well from good barrier.
First Print: Continues to run well and consistently without winning or looking like winning. Will do the same again today at the weights.
Belaruski: Won quite well last start over in Adelaide back onto a firmer track. Been crying out for it. Looks well weighted and looks a decent chance to measure up if good enough.
Niminypiminy: Maiden only winner, yet to place in city class… runs this prep all fair but not up to this grade.
Miss Burlesque: Failed to win in much easier grade with less weight last start. Struggle to see a place today.
Comments: Ugly race on paper but i’m willing to take the chance on the odds bet for Carashan Girl based on the potential i’ve seen on the ratings she has run in the past.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Carashan Girl E/W