Gear Changes: Sava Nugget – Blinkers First Time
2. Act of Valour: Should take a sit today and not lead like he tried to finish last prep. Coming well back in class, has a good first up record and can handle weight. Tricky barrier the issue.
3. Ducal Castle: Looked a nice type both previous preps but never managed to break through for a top quality win. Ran a 3rd in 3YO-LR. First up at distance and in this class ran 1.5L 6th.
4. Sava Nugget: Three runs this prep in this class and yet to get closer than 1.3L off a win… gone backwards since that run also. Blinkers on.
5. Uncle Tiger: Won 3 of 4 runs this prep but has been competing in the country. Big step up in class here to win this.
6. We’ve Got This: Maiden only winner with a serious record of placing in good races behind strong horses. Barrier 1 should see him get a nice spot and dryer track than previous three runs should suit.
7. Heza Ripper: NZ import that won first up, doesn’t happen often! Stable are confident he is the real deal. I wasn’t blown away by the win at Geelong, but Hayes has put it as his best of the day today and is talking the horse up. Barrier looks tricky.
9. Ruettiger: First up off a long break. measured up to this grade at end of last prep. First up record fine but does need to improve.
11. Mantener La Fe: Disappointing run first up overracing and then getting blocked for runs. Best over further than this last prep but does have a 0.4L 3rd to trust in a Gust on the record. Had been 2 years between runs.
12. Neona: Nice start to finish win at Seymour last start off a fast tempo. Strange win when you consider previous three runs… hard horse to catch it suggests.
13. Good Offa: Not going well enough on first two runs this prep. Did run well in 3YO company last prep though.
Comments: A few runners of interest here out of stronger race form lines. We’ve Got This is the horse with the peaks at this distance in harder company and has to be respected.
Confidence 65%
Strategy: We’ve Got This to win
