Audino: Never won first up in the past but low sample size and has placed…. has won at similar distance previously in the past and the races he measured up in last prep weren’t that far above this distance wise. Wouldn’t be overly confident but if the money comes… *taps nose*
Petrify: Very disappointing last prep when failed to fire late… but the early work in prep was quite good over the 1100m-1200m when ran 2nd in this grade 2nd up and then won in BM-90 grade also beating Sea Lord and a few others.
Corsica Lad: Loves the short distance tracks… could be related to Fab Fevola! BM-63 win and the Flat Knack win last prep.. first up on Firm 2 at Grafton ran well but this is a step up today city grade in Victoria… Hard horse to rate coming back to this.
Sunday Escape: Favourite first up and beaten into 2nd on a Heavy track.. back to dryer track last start and was good but still well beaten at Ballarat. Similar class today and will be going forward again.
Glowstick: Wide barrier today but heading to the front… will probably have to work hard to get a front position so may just sit outside the leader. Top weight last start at MV ran well but still very well beaten. Won previously at Echuca beating some okay types. Not sure he is the best here though.
Copernicus: Nice win first up on heavy then last start at Sale destroyed the BM-64 field from on speed on the Soft 7 track. Time was fine but nothing huge ratings wise for mine. Has to improve to measure up… would love the rain to stay around clearly.
Jersey Whistler: Very nice win last start in BM-70 grade at MV on a heavy when came over the top of them. Previous runs measured up in city grade over this distance but best runs clearly on rain affected ground.
Cobblestones: Showed a load of ability in past preps but found nothing at all at end of last prep. Trial was fair. Weighted super well if can return to best form… has a good first up record and maps well.
Just for Starters: Won a 35k race then went onto MV and ran okay from the back then failed in the Vain Stakes.. 341 days between runs says a few things.
Tatler Belle: Nothing shown first up. Previous prep nothing shown. Previous prep to that ran okay but still… hard to have.
Comments: I have a strong opinion of Cobblestones when ridden on speed. Ridden top 4 just 3 runs last prep for a 1st 2nd and 1st. Barrier today should clearly allow it to occur and the 1000m is the ideal distance here… low weight gets her well in.
Confidence 70%
Strategy: Cobblestones E/W