Welcome to The Profits AFL Finals 2017 Week 2 preview. Week 1 of the finals threw up a few surprises with the Eagles getting over the top of the Power in over-time while the Cats failed to fire against the Tigers and now face the rampaging Swans to stay in the finals hunt. The lines put up to suggest there are only a few goals in both of these matches and I’m expecting both of them to be very competitive, unlike some in the media. Here’s to a competitive finals series! Hopefully, our tips help you have a perfect weekend. Good luck and happy tipping.
Best Bets
(6 units): GWS v West Coast – Either Team under 24.5 @ $1.83
(2 units): Sydney 1-39 @ $2.00
Tools and Results
All the key statistics figures and analysis
Full team injury lists and return dates
2017 Betting Spreadsheet of Results
Geelong vs Sydney
Friday 15 September – 7.50pm AEST – MCG
Line: Geelong +18.5, Sydney -18.5
Geelong Cats
The Cats come into this match having played their worst game all year and proved once again they don’t play well at all off a week off. The injury to Guthrie really hurt them in the 3rd QTR against the Tigers and led to Martin finally getting free and controlling the match to the line.
The last time these two teams met down at Simonds Stadium, the Cats failed to get going early and gave the Swans a 5 goal headstart which they started to close into the 3rd qtr but couldn’t quite climb over and ‘gave up’ late (as this team did against the Tigers).
This isn’t a shot in the dark for this Cats team. They are good enough at their best to beat this Swans team, but they will need everything to go right.
Sydney Swans
The Swans demolished the Bombers in the Elimination Final and continued their strong form lines heading into this finals series. The big question mark hanging over the Swans is just how they play at the MCG with scores of 78, 80, 85 and 66 this year at the MCG, suggesting they may have an issue playing up to 100% on this ground and scoring a big number.
The Swans have a full list injury free and are ready to continue rolling through teams. If they kick straight and implement the game plan they have used all year and pressure the Cats at every stoppage, they will be very hard to beat.
Summary
The Swans have failed to score a large total at the MCG all year and the Cats have only conceded more than 100 points once since Round 10. Expecting it to be a much tighter game than most are expecting.
Prediction
Sydney by 14 points
Betting – Confidence 80%
Sydney 1-39 @ $2.00
Greater Western Sydney vs West Coast
Saturday 16 September – 7.25pm AEST – Spotless Stadium
Line: GWS -16.5, West Coast +16.5
Greater Western Sydney Giants
Lost two weeks in a row in convincing fashion to the Cats and then the Crows. Failed to score more than 69 points in those weeks and the Giants will have to turn things around without Mumford and Cameron. The Injury toll is really starting to mount for this Giants team, but they bat deep so it shouldn’t be too much of a worry if good enough game plan wise.
West Coast Eagles
The Eagles come into this match off a lucky win over the Power with 10 less scoring shots and just straighter shooting proving the difference. The Eagles now travel to Spotless Stadium where they played well against the Giants just four rounds ago to lose by 21 points.
Summary
The Eagles have failed to record a large score all year and they come up against the right team in the Giants who have scored 100+ points just once since Round 15 and will be missing a key number of goals from their starting line-up.
Prediction
Greater Western Sydney by 8 points
Betting – Confidence 90%
Either Team Under 24.5 Points @ $1.83
